Peach Tree Times

In Georgia, the rate of inflation is outpacing wage growth, leaving many citizens worried about the cost of goods and services.

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), wages in Georgia have failed to keep pace with the national average, rising by 10.9% compared to 13% nationally. The state ranks 42nd out of 50 states by percent change and 23rd by level for the fourth quarter 2020. 

As wage growth stagnates, the rate of inflation is inversely increasing at worrying rates. The bureau's Consumer Price Index has reported notable upticks over the past 12 months on items particularly important to average American households: food (3.4%), energy (23.8%), and used vehicles (+41.7%).

Georgia's unemployment rate has declined for 14 straight months and currently sits at 3.7%, which is well below the national average, according to a release from the Georgia Department of Labor. This is also the first time that unemployment has dropped to pre-pandemic levels.

"After ending Georgia's participation in the federal unemployment insurance programs in June, the state has seen growth of almost 84,000 jobs and has seen a 300% increase in the number of people employed from June to July," Labor Commissioner Mark Butler said in the release. "We are seeing all-time high job numbers in many sectors. The job market is saturated with opportunities for job seekers, and we are working to connect employers with candidates for long-term employment."

People have returned to work and workers are getting paid more, inflation has eaten up all of the wage gains for Americans, according to Harvard economist Jason Furman, former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors and economic advisor to President Barack Obama, and Wilson Powell III, former Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) research analyst. In June 2021, real compensation fell 0.7% below the levels of December 2019, and 2% lower than its pre-pandemic trend.

According to the BLS, nominal compensation for all U.S. civilians has risen by a 2.8% annual rate, but at the same time, because of inflated prices, real compensation is down by 2% since before the COVID-19 crisis began, according to PIIE. Prices rose faster than wages, leading to inflation-adjusted compensation falling for the past three months below its December 2019 level.

In an opinion article published by The Hill, author Kristin Tate said there are two significant drivers of the current inflation: “Money printing by the Federal Reserve” and “massive government spending.” Tate called the growing inflation “Biden’s hidden tax on working Americans.”

"Put it all together, and consumer prices are the highest they’ve been in eight and a half years," Tate wrote in the article. "Economists now not only see the risk of inflation “higher than in the last two decades,” but the distinct risk of the Federal Reserve having to increase interest rates by the end of 2022."

Tate added that the Fed nearly doubled its bond purchases since the beginning of the pandemic, added almost $4 trillion into the economy, almost as much as the Fed purchased between 2008 and 2014, during the worst of the Great Recession. The president has requested a 16% increase in domestic spending in next year’s budget.

Authors of the initial $1 trillion infrastructure bill said the bill would be "fully paid for," The Wall Street Journal reported. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has said that the $1 trillion installment of the infrastructure plan would add $256 billion to the federal deficit over 10 years, according to the newspaper. Members of the bipartisan group that negotiated the infrastructure bill said they expected the analysis from the Congressional Budget Office to differ from their own and said some of the measures to cover the cost of the bill wouldn’t count the same way toward CBO’s official estimate, The Wall Street Journal said.

Mark Vitner, a senior economist for Well’s Fargo’s Corporate and Investment Bank, said current inflation trends are temporary and won’t come close to previous historical periods of inflation," according to The Business Journal.

“We are not likely to see a return of the runaway inflation that we saw in the late 1970s and early 1980s,” Vitner told The Business Journal. “Most of the run up in inflation that we are seeing is due to some temporary supply shortages and bottlenecks in the supply process because one or two key parts are messing, such as semi-conductor chips.” 

Investors think the inflationary streak that has sent prices of everything from used cars to lumber soaring will fade in several years, reassuring for markets struggling to find direction, according to The Wall Street Journal.